A moderate risk of severe weather is forecast for Southeast Michigan tonight into the overnight hours. Conditions are becoming favorable for strong thunderstorms due to a warm front.
The primary threats from these thunderstorms include damaging winds and large hail.
There is also a marginal risk of isolated tornadoes, though this is a lower probability.
The timing for the severe weather is expected to be between 8 PM tonight and 3 AM tomorrow.
Southeast Michigan counties included in this forecast are Wayne, Oakland, Macomb, Washtenaw, Livingston, St. Clair, and Monroe.
Residents are advised to stay informed about weather updates as the situation develops.
The precipitation associated with these storms will be heavy.
Temperatures will be warm and humid ahead of the cold front.
After the cold front passes, temperatures will drop significantly.
Winds will shift to the northwest behind the cold front.
The severe weather risk is rated at level 2 out of 5, indicating a slight risk.
This means that severe weather is possible but not widespread or guaranteed.
The warm front is the primary driver for the atmospheric instability.
The overnight period presents an increased risk due to continued atmospheric forcing.
The potential for localized flash flooding also exists due to the heavy rainfall.
This forecast covers a specific geographical area and timeframe.